The Bold Return to In-Person Conferences
Last week witnessed a bold adventure in in-person conferencing… and lessons in how to manage clients (and their portfolios) in an unprecedented market environment. But the memorable moment at the ENGAGE conference was David Kelly’s statement that bitcoin is a cult and not a currency.
Is Your Target-Date Fund Providing Enough Inflation Protection?
Inflation has been on the rise recently, raising concerns about long-run inflation and its impact on the spending power of those who can least afford it—investors approaching or already in retirement.
How Advisors Can Maximize After-Tax Returns
Frank Pape is the senior director, portfolio consulting for Russell Investments’ advisor and intermediary solutions business. In this interview, he discusses the latest research on how advisors can maximize the after-tax income for their clients.
Moving Averages: S&P Up 2.3% in July
Valid until the market close on August 31, 2021.
The S&P 500 closed July with a monthly gain of 2.27% after a gain of 2.22% in June. At this point, after close on the last day of the month, all five S&P 500 strategies are signaling "invested" — Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU), iShares Barclays 7-10 Treasury (IEF), Vanguard REIT Index ETF (VNQ), and Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking (DBC) — up from last month's quadruple "invested" signal.
Thinking About Macro
Howard Marks doesn’t make bets on economic predictions. That’s especially true now when the biggest wildcard is inflation – a phenomenon no one fully understands. But just because something is unknowable doesn’t mean it’s unimportant. That’s why Howard has devoted his latest memo to a topic he largely disavows: macro forecasting.
Real Disposable Income Per Capita in June Down 0.6%, Revisions Made
With the release of this morning's report on June's Personal Incomes and Outlays, we can now take a closer look at "Real" Disposable Personal Income Per Capita. At two decimal places, the nominal -0.04% month-over-month change in disposable income is cut to -0.55% when we adjust for inflation. This is an increase from last month's -2.74% nominal and -3.33% real decreases. The year-over-year metrics are 0.46% nominal and -3.41% real.
Pending Home Sales Down Marginally in June
Today the National Association of Realtors released the June data for their Pending Home Sales Index. According to the National Association of Realtors®, "Pending home sales declined marginally in June after recording a notable gain in May."
Transitory, or Not Transitory? That is the Question. Total Return Outlook Third Quarter
Despite a strengthening economy in the second quarter, investors were highly focused on the Federal Reserve’s response to the recent spike in inflation data.