The Urban-to-Suburban Exodus May Be the Biggest in 50 Years
This “exodus,” as some are already calling it, may end up being among the biggest in U.S. history, or at least the biggest since the 1950s and 60s. A record 27.4 percent of homebuyers sought to move out of their metro areas in the second quarter, according to Redfin data.
Minisode - The Latest Developments in Hedge Fund Replication
Dynamic Beta’s portfolios seek to match or outperform the portfolios of leading hedge funds by identifying, and investing directly in, the key drivers (or factors) that explain recent pre-fee performance. Its engine is based on over a decade of research into the primary sources of returns among Equity Long/short, Managed Futures and Multi-strategy hedge funds. Its portfolios consist only of highly-liquid futures and/or ETFs.
Minisode - A Reality Check on Behavioral Coaching
Over the past few months, advisors and investors have been whipsawed by market movements and emotions have been magnified due to the pandemic. And while the term behavioral finance has often been discussed in the advisor world, the application of it into practice tends to lag.
Rational Exuberance? Explaining Global Equity Market Gains
Global stock markets seem to be defying the reality of recessions this year. Despite recent volatility, we think market gains for the year are more rational than perceived, given the powerful impact of stimulus and low rates on stock valuations.
Four Myths About Investing Outside U.S. Markets
With U.S. shares reaching lofty valuations and fundamentals firming up in many other countries, financial advisors would be wise to consider increasing a client’s non-U.S. holdings. So why do many advisors hesitate making this allocation?
Interest Rates and Their Impact On Stock Values
Many investors are attempting to justify higher stock “valuations” because interest rates are at historical lows. I would agree that lower interest rates could affect “market valuations” based on the simple law of supply and demand. The concept is simple, when fixed income offers lower returns it logically stimulates more demand for equities where higher returns can be found.
Book Value Is an Incomplete Measure of Firm Size
Adding intangible assets to book value provides a more robust measure of firm capital. But, just as a home buyer considers a host of variables when evaluating the price of a new house, we prefer to use multiple metrics, not book value alone, to get the most complete picture possible of a firm’s valuation.
Still Looking for Alternatives? How about Real Assets?
Ed Perks and Gene Podkaminer of Franklin Templeton’s Multi-Asset Solutions team discuss the attractions of alternative assets that can offer natural portfolio diversification. Over a longer-term horizon, they continue to believe global stocks have greater performance potential than global bonds, or alternatives, but this outlook will not be reached along a smooth path.
Quality is Missing the Point
I got very excited when I came across an excerpt from Jordan Ellenberg’s book, How Not to Be Wrong. His book was written to teach readers how much logic and common sense is provided by math. He tells the story of Abraham Wald during World War II, who worked for the Statistical Research Group (SRG).