How Much Debt Is Too Much?
The new conventional wisdom in these unconventional times is that advanced-economy governments can take advantage of today's ultra-low interest rates to borrow and spend without limit in order to support the economy. But the fact is that there is always a limit, and it may come into view sooner than many realize.
Has the Size Premium Disappeared?
Small-cap stocks have underperformed the broader markets since the “discovery” of the size premium in 1981. But research shows that a segment of those small-cap stocks have performed well and that now is a compelling time to invest in them.
Yellen May Restore Treasury-Fed Cooperation, With Eye on GOP
As Treasury secretary, Janet Yellen is almost certain to pursue tighter coordination with the U.S. Federal Reserve next year -- repairing recent frictions -- though observers say she will be careful to avoid any specific move that could trigger a wave of Republican protests.
Distressed Credit Opportunities on Rise Amid Uncertainties in Middle Markets
Liquidity issues and other business risks could prompt a wave of defaults and restructurings, in turn creating fertile ground for opportunistic investing in distressed credit.
Income Fund Update: Navigating an Uneven Recovery
We are cautiously optimistic about economic growth over the next year, but over the longer term, disruptive factors will likely contribute to heightened volatility and lower returns across both fixed income and equity markets.
Mnuchin, Powell and the Georgia Elections
Who's in charge of fiscal policy? That's the real issue behind the recent dispute between Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the Treasury's decision to end certain emergency lending facilities by December 31, 2020.
How Active Short‑Term Strategies Can Fill the Void Left by the Diminished Money Market Landscape
Amid an environment of near-zero benchmark and T-bill yields, for a modest increase in risk, PIMCO's short-term strategies may offer higher levels of total return and income for stepping beyond the confines of money market fund strategies.
Vanguard’s Top Strategist’s Outlook for the Economy and Credit Markets
Anne N. Mathias is a senior strategist for Vanguard and a member of the firm's Fixed Income Group, with a focus on global macroeconomics, interest rates, and foreign currency. I spoke with her about the outlook for the economy and the credit markets.
2021 Credit Outlook: Smoother Road Ahead
It was a bumpy ride for corporate bond investors this year. After the sharp, pandemic-driven selloff in February and March, total returns for most corporate bond investments have climbed their way back into positive territory.