Don’t Panic! Bear Market Communication Tips for DC Plan Sponsors
The bear market is challenging defined contribution (DC) plan sponsors to reinforce timeless investing principles while also conveying new rules that bring relief to participants. Good communication practices are a key ingredient to achieving success in both these areas.
Navigating the Maze of Models
Once again, no one cares about the economic calendar. There are a few items with recent data – jobless claims, mortgage applications, and Michigan sentiment – but most reports are old news. Everyone is focused on the increase in coronavirus cases and deaths. There are plenty of predictions, each based on model from a reputable source. The variation is wide.
The Latest Look at the Total Return Roller Coaster
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $12,854 for an annualized real return of 5.03%.
As Markets Burn
Major adjustments in capital markets around the globe have changed our long-term expected return forecasts for the 100+ assets we model. Before the corona crash we forecast long-term real returns for US equities to be only 1% a year. Now new, lower valuations suggest higher returns.
Stocks Drop as Coronavirus Fears Sink In
Stocks dropped on Wednesday as investors focused on growing fears about the human and economic toll of COVID-19. The S&P 500 index lost 4.4% on Tuesday, and at the close of trading was down about 27% from its February peak.
This Multi-Phase Crisis Can Be Navigated if We Join Forces to Thread the Needle
Matt provides a framework that he and his team use to make sense of the headlines and the price bids flashing on their monitors. His realistic, yet hopeful outlook provides a roadmap for successfully navigating this universal crisis together.
Jae Park and Michael Giles on the COVID-19 Crisis, Credit Cycle and Investing with Conviction
It’s been said before, but the truth appears to be this crisis is very different than others we’ve experienced. It's not an asset bubble tied to exuberance, greed, default, fraud or mismanagement of a country, currencies or anything else in our manmade economic system.
Indiscriminate Selling Has Driven Closed-end Fund Discounts, Creating Compelling Value
Even with all the benefits attributable to closed-end funds—intraday trading, low financing costs of leverage, ability to be fully invested, and consistent source of income—they have some idiosyncrasies that present challenges, especially during extreme volatility
Moving Averages: March Month-End Update
Valid until the market close on April 30, 2020.
The S&P 500 closed March with a monthly loss of 12.51% after a loss of 8.41% in February. All three S&P 500 MAs are signaling "cash" and four of five Ivy Portfolio ETFs — Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), Vanguard REIT Index ETF (VNQ), Vanguard FTSE All-World ETF (VEU), and PowerShares DB Commodity Index (DBC) — are signaling "cash".
There Is a Way Out of the Coronavirus Crisis, and Long-term Opportunities in an Oversold Equity Mark
The pace of government and private sector response will likely be slower than we may like, but we have the collective knowledge to address the pandemic, including support to individuals and businesses.