The publication this week of the U.S. — China trade deal and the final macro numbers for 2019 should set the stage for healthy economic performance and stronger market sentiment in China in 2020, but the risk of a return to tense relations between Washington and Beijing looms over 2021 and beyond.
The best environment would be moderate U.S. growth, a sideways U.S. market and a weaker U.S. dollar.
President Trump called it “amazing,” and U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer said the China deal is “remarkable.” In my view, however, it is merely the best trade deal in the last 36 months of Chinese history, and it falls well short of two key objectives. Because the deal sets highly unrealistic goals for U.S. exports to China...
Asia goes into the global deceleration with already-lean companies and a valuation advantage.
Improvements in accessibility are expected to accelerate further inclusion in the near term.
China has come to the forefront of investors’ minds, and has become a larger portion of global indices over the past years while dominating global headlines. We believe investors’ slow reaction to the rise of China as a global economic power creates an opportunity for investors who are willing to lead the pack.
As China's economy continues its shift toward services and consumption, small and medium-sized businesses are accelerating this transformation.
A trade deal is expected when Presidents Trump and Xi meet in November, but even if the talks fail, Sinology explains why China can mitigate the impact and maintain the world’s best consumer story.
Chinese equities were flat in September. A-shares posted slight gains while small caps posted slight losses.
As Asia’s private sector uses capital and labor more efficiently, economic growth rises.
While global investors continue to feel the repercussions of U.S–China trade tensions, China boasts a vibrant, entrepreneurial economy, creating opportunities for investors with a long-term view. Despite market volatility, China remains the world’s best consumer story, represents the world’s second largest economy and has been the key driver of global economic growth for a decade.
Please join Matthews Asia Portfolio Strategist Jeremy Murden along with Portfolio Managers Winnie Chwang and S. Joyce Li, CFA, for an interactive discussion on:
Investment opportunities arise amid trade-related market disruption.
China's ambitious infrastructure initiative points to the potential of global cooperation.
In Southeast Asia, a collective market of over 650 million urbanizing and upwardly mobile people have seen many companies poised to prosper in the burgeoning e-commerce sector and many have set their sights to scale in Indonesia.
Protests in Hong Kong create a political balancing act for China. With the world watching, a patient approach may be in China's best interest.
We believe China is managing, not manipulating, its currency. The country's central bank aims to maintain a stable exchange rate amid trade-related volatility.
Factors other than U.S.-China friction drive the region's progress.
Over the past several months, there has been hype about the prospect of the Chinese renminbi (RMB) weakening past 7 per U.S. dollar, despite no evidence that 7 is a magical number. China's central bank, People's Bank of China (PBOC), had denied that it was focused on defending 7, and the IMF said it wasn't significant.
Chinese government economists in Beijing have indicated that, while they are prepared to intervene with stimulus if current conditions deteriorate, investors should not anticipate material changes to monetary and fiscal policy. Sinology takes a look at the latest China economic data.
Following U.S. President Donald Trump's recent Asia trip, Sinology explains why prospects seem brighter for an improved broader U.S.–China relationship.
Its economic leadership creates a potential opportunity that cannot be ignored.
Market updates from across the region.
U.S. - China trade concerns continue to weigh on global markets. Matthews Asia offers its perspective on how the dispute affects the long-term investment landscape.
Primed for growth, Asia’s health care sector helps capture consumer spending in the region.
Structural advantages that point to fast long-term growth in Asia are getting short shrift.
With Jokowi appearing set to retain power, equity flows should improve and indications are positive for economic reforms as political uncertainty is dispelled.
We recently sat down with Matthews Asia Portfolio Managers Teresa Kong and Satya Patel to discuss the appeal of Asia corporate bonds for bond investors seeking global diversification.
China and Asia are once again at the forefront of many investors' minds. Investors have taken notice of a potential resolution to the trade dispute with the U.S., the pause in Federal Reserve tightening and the curtailing of the U.S. dollar's rally, along with headlines suggesting China is looking to stimulate growth.
China's A-shares are gaining a larger role in MSCI indices. Matthews Asia's portfolio strategy team offers its views.
Sinology explains that the key to understanding China’s debt problem is that it is the result of state banks lending to state firms at the direction of the state, so there is no mark-to-market pressure.
What investors should expect from upcoming elections in Thailand, Indonesia, India and the Philippines.
Focusing on the long term and on better-managed companies has been a tailwind for returns in Asia.
When considering the prospects for India's stock market, key factors of performance are the growth outlook and underlying valuations.
Matthews Asia Portfolio Strategist David Dali discusses the new drivers of growth in emerging markets.
Our January Sinology explains that China’s economy did not slow sharply in 4Q18. Growth rates of household consumption and private investment actually accelerated.
In Southeast Asia, which countries have been the fastest to benefit from a shift in supply change and manufacturing, as costs in China have risen? Our regional expert takes a look.
In our 2019 Fixed Income Outlook, Matthews Asia's fixed income team discusses possible tailwinds for Asia bonds ahead.
Conventional wisdom is always right—until it isn't. The question is: When is it right to disagree? The investment herd is thinking: Trade wars, tight money, fractious politics and a falling stock market in the U.S. Banking systems in distress in Europe and the splitting of the EU.
Amid macro concerns including trade conflicts and fears of slowing growth, Chinese equities were highly volatile in 2018. The declines in equity prices seem to have been driven largely by sentiment. Two decades of investing in China has taught me to look past sentiment and take a closer look at what's happening on the ground.
Market Updates from across the region.
I have been waiting for the first signs of real panic in Asia's bear market. First, there was the question of why India had been so defensive, with its current account deficit, high structural inflation, strained banking system, difficult government finances and high valuations.
Changes result in a major shift in sector weights across indices globally.
Our October Sinology explores the disconnect between weak market performance in China, and strong macro conditions and corporate earnings. How likely is this to narrow?
India's growth rate accelerated to 8.2% in the second quarter of 2018 as the shocks from demonetization and the imposition of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) wore off, supported by inventory restocking and a low base of comparison. The principal drivers of growth were government and private spending.
Following a substantial run-up in 2017, China's stock markets experienced notable volatility in recent quarters. The MSCI China Index was down roughly -9% year to date measured in U.S. dollars as of September 30, 2018, while China's mainland, domestic A-shares were down nearly -20% measured in U.S. dollars for the same period.
Matthews Asia CIO Robert Horrocks says China's leadership on free trade is an important reason to invest in the growth of Asia.
Asia’s entrepreneurs have capital, customers and conviction. Learn about the opportunity for global investors.
Capturing a diverse range of business opportunities and return drivers, Asia’s small companies offer attractive opportunities for long-term growth.