Rising yields and a steeper yield curve are par for the course as an economy enters the recovery phase of the global credit cycle.
Almost nothing has felt certain in 2020. The presidential and congressional election results are two more things to add to the list. Markets had largely expected a blue wave, which has not materialized.
There appears to be an increased willingness to engage in deficit spending on both sides of the aisle in Washington, DC. This could lead to a more “middle of the road” outlook for fiscal decision making.
As we enter credit repair, we are wary of using the global financial crisis as a benchmark for the path to recovery. We see several key reasons that suggest this time will be different.
Donald Trump's presidential upset has stunned financial markets, which had heavily discounted a Clinton victory. What might Trump's policy proposals mean for markets and key components of the US economy going forward?