Results 351–400 of 669 found.
Happy Birthday, Bull Market
March 10, 2014, could be considered the fifth birthday of the current equity bull market. Investors looked beyond mixed economic data and turmoil in the Ukraine to push stocks to further gains last week. Stocks still remain a more attractive option relative to traditional bonds and cash.
Do Spring Showers Bring Stock Gains? Don?t Count on it
Some investors looking for a catalyst to move stocks higher in coming months have pointed to the calendar, expecting that markets tend to do better in the spring. Russ gives three reasons why he cautions investors against putting too much faith in the influence of the seasons.
Three Reasons Frontier & EM Equities Are Not Created Equal
With all the turmoil in emerging markets recently, some investors may be especially wary of investing in so-called frontier markets. Russ explains why frontier and emerging markets are separate asset classes, each deserving of a strategic allocation.
Thanks Washington, But the Recovery Remains Soft
While two events in Washington last week supported stocks and other risky assets, they overshadowed the release of some relatively disappointing economic numbers providing more evidence of still soft U.S. economic growth.
Why Confidence Remains Low (Hint: Blame Washington)
While U.S. economic fundamentals have improved over the past year, U.S. businesses and consumers both continue to exercise caution, holding back on spending and new investment. Russ explains whats partly behind this puzzling dilemma.
Why Confidence Remains Low (Hint: Blame Washington)
Despite some signs that economic fundamentals are improving - including an improving labor market and rising home prices - U.S. businesses and consumers continue to exercise caution, holding back on spending and new investment. Whats behind this puzzling dilemma? As I write in my new Market Perspectives paper, "The Price of Politics," uncertainty over public policy is partly to blame.
Volatility Should Persist, But Stick With Stocks
Volatility rose last week and is now close to its long-term average. Economic data has softened, but we do not believe the Federal Reserve will change course. Investors may want to consider adding to equity positions during periods of weakness
Volatility Prompts a More Cautious View Toward Emerging Markets
The market selloff continued last week, and emerging markets stocks are looking more uncertain in the short term. With U.S. wages under pressure, consumer-related stocks remain an unattractive option. The Federal Reserves tapering program is starting to remove a pillar of support for stocks.
Buy What You Know? Not So Fast
Buy what you know. It’s an old admonition, and on the surface a sensible one. Focusing your investments on those companies that you’re most familiar with should help mitigate the risk of a bad investment choice. Unfortunately, like a lot of conventional wisdom, it’s wrong. Concentrating your portfolio to local investments, while comforting, is a mistake for two reasons.
Expect Higher Volatility to Persist
Last weeks selloff can be attributed to EM turmoil, stretched valuations and mediocre earnings. Volatility is likely to move higher to levels closer to long-term averages. We suggest investors adopt overweight positions in European and Japanese stocks.
Bubble Watch: The Valuation & Sentiment Signs to Look For
Worried that the U.S. market is about to tilt into bubble territory? Though Russ doesnt believe that U.S. equities are in a bubble yet, he highlights two sets of data investors can watch to gauge a bubbles arrival.
Nasdaq 4000: Stocks are Not Behaving Like It's 1999
The Nasdaq Composite made news last week, moving past the 4,000 mark for the first time in 13 years. But, according to Russ, the current trip above the 4,000 level looks quite different from what was happening in 1999 and 2000.
Why It's (a Little) Too Quiet on the Market Front
Stock market volatility remains unusually low. While this is partially justified by loose credit conditions and strong market momentum, the drop in volatility looks exaggerated and suggests investors are becoming too complacent.
The Disinflationary Developed World: 2 Investment Implications
Inflation remains close to historic lows, not just in the United States but also in other large developed markets. Russ explains why this is the case and what it means for investors (hint: low-for-longer rates and another reason to consider underweighting Treasury-Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS)).
Tech in the Time of Twitter: From Growth to Value Play
Despite the hype surrounding Twitters IPO, technology is a very different industry today than it was fifteen years ago. While a few high profile companies are making headlines, the sector is no longer a growth story. Nevertheless, tech still looks attractive as a value play.
4 Reasons Japan Could Continue to be the Land of the Rising Stock Market
Japan has been the land of rising stocks this year -- Japanese equities are up nearly 40% year-to-date. Russ explains why he believes the market offers more upside potential and a near-term opportunity for tactical investors able to hedge the currency exposure.
Why Stocks Advance Despite Mediocre Economic Data
The basic takeaway from last weeks economic data seems to be that were still in a world of 2% US economic growth with little evidence of a pickup. Yet stock markets have advanced and can move higher over the next six to 12 months? Russ explains why.
How Real Estate Impacts the US Economy
Despite appreciating more than 10% over the past year, home prices still look reasonable and housing affordable. However, while there is little risk of another housing bubble, a significant pickup in interest rates could dampen housing activity and by extension, the recovery.
Going Defensive? 3 Things to Consider First
With the threat of a default merely pushed out a few months, many investors continue to allocate to so-called defensive investments. However, because going defensive is not a free lunch, Russ says its important for investors to consider three aspects of their potential defensive postures.
After the Minimalist Debt Ceiling Deal: The Good & Bad News
Last week, investors cheered that Washington finally reached a last-minute debt ceiling deal. But despite their big sigh of relief, the debt ceiling deal wasnt all good news. Russ provides a quick look at the good, the bad and the investing implications of the compromise.
The Short & Long-Term Implications of A Minimalist Debt Ceiling Deal
A deal to extend the debt ceiling and reopen the government is emerging. If it passes by tomorrow or shortly thereafter, the economy and markets will be spared the worst case scenario of a technical default. However, Washingtons inability to strike a more substantial bargain will have negative repercussions, over both the short and long term.
Two More Reasons to Like Equities: Growth & Inflation
Russ offers more evidence supporting his preference for equities over bonds: Historically equities have tended to outperform bonds on a monthly basis in a growth and inflation scenario like the one were in today.
3 Reasons the Labor Market Will Continue to Frustrate the Fed
The Feds decision to delay tapering is an implicit acknowledgment that the labor market is far from healed. Russ explains why the labor market is likely to continue to frustrate the Fed and gives two implications for investors.
After the Fed's Surprise: 4 Asset Allocation Implications
The Feds surprise no-taper announcement confirmed Russ expectation that the global recovery remains soft and that interest rates are likely to remain contained this year. What does this mean for investors? There are four implications for asset allocations, says Russ.
5 Years Later: The Crisis We Haven't Tackled Yet
Five years after the Lehman bankruptcy, the proximate causes of the 2008 crash are no longer threats. But while the risk of another imminent financial system crisis has abated, there are two major issues that foretell a coming retirement funding crisis.
From the Fed to Congress: 4 Washington Issues to Watch
After the Fed announcement next week, market attention is likely to shift toward Congress for the remainder of the fall. According to Russ, four key issues up for debate have the potential to add to near-term volatility.
2 Unresolved Issues Challenging the Case for European Stocks
Russ explains the two key unresolved issues that are keeping his view of European stocks somewhat cautious, and he gives the next signposts to watch to gauge whether any near-term resolutions are likely.
Investor Anxiety + Uncertainty = More Volatility Ahead
As Russ expected, both equity and bond market volatility have risen in recent weeks. Russ explains why this rocky road is likely to continue, and he provides two ideas for potentially insulating portfolios amid volatility.
Get Ready for Taper Lite: 3 Signs the Labor Market Isn't Picking Up
While the overall US economy is healing, the labor markets recovery continues to be frustratingly slow. Fridays payroll report suggests investors should prepare for a less aggressive Fed, a more muted backup in interest rates and a bond market that can go up as well as down.
Middle East Tensions, Oil Prices and the US Economy
A further escalation of violence in the Middle East will not only have a terrible human toll, it could also lead to rising oil prices, which in turn could hurt consumers and the global recovery. Russ explains the situation and shares how investors can prepare.
Results 351–400 of 669 found.