Commentary

Coronavirus Risks for U.S. Consumers and India

Many consumers entered the crisis with no cushion.

Commentary

Free Falling

Decisive measures taken today should help to keep the crisis from causing prolonged damage.

Commentary

Congress Goes Big, States Play a Vital Part in Recovery, and a Dollar Crunch Takes Hold

Relief efforts measured in trillions of dollars are bound to have some positive effect.

Commentary

Policy Responses Take Shape, Emerging Markets at Risk, and Why We Hoard

Growing policy responses reflect greater estimates of the costs of COVID-19.

Commentary

COVID-19 Brings Policy Responses, Risks to Emerging Markets, and Hoarding

Growing policy responses reflect greater estimates of the costs of COVID-19.

Commentary

Major Fiscal Action Needed to Avoid a Downturn, Travelers Stay Put, Oil Adds to Stress

Substantial fiscal policy is the best economic prescription for COVID-19.

Commentary

Coronavirus Clouds the Outlook

Economic news will get worse before it gets better, but we expect the U.S. economy to pull through.

Commentary

Central Banks Spring Into Action While Coronavirus Adds To Europe’s Ailments

Can policymakers minimize economic disruptions from COVID-19?

Commentary

Is An Economic Pandemic At Hand?

We’ve been closely watching developments related to COVID-19 for the past several weeks. While we have hesitated to make significant changes to our outlook until evidence is clearer, we now expect the economic damage done by the outbreak will be more significant than initially thought.

Commentary

Growth Prospects and Challenges Ahead for the U.S., U.K., Eurozone, China, and Japan

The coronavirus outbreak is sending ripples through global supply chains and disrupting businesses.

Commentary

A Tale of Tail Risks

The U.S. economy has been resilient in the face of uncertainty, but risks are growing.

Commentary

The Lowdown on Low Inflation

A deep dive into the factors that brought inflation down and are keeping it low.

Commentary

Making Everyone Count, Coronavirus Goes Viral, Davos Debates

The U.S. Census is a vital research tool; the coronavirus is a vital risk.

Commentary

U.S. and China Sign a Deal, Inequality Eludes Measurement, Canada Leads with Fiscal Policy

Phase One: A limited deal is better than none.
Inequality: We can’t manage what we can’t measure.
Canada: Taking the lead with fiscal policy.

Commentary

U.S. Consumer Outlook, Pension Protests in France, and Australia’s Wildfire

A strong economy will help U.S. consumers meet their financial resolutions in the new year, while residents of France and Australia have bigger worries.