Commentary

The Renaissance In U.S. Manufacturing & Productivity

We’ve all experienced shortages of various goods and/or services in the last year or so of the coronavirus pandemic. In recent decades, American manufacturers have increasingly outsourced the production of goods we consume to foreign countries where they can often be produced cheaper.

Commentary

Social Security Trust Fund Insolvent By 2033, Really?

Each year, the Social Security Board of Trustees releases a report which analyzes the current and projected financial health of Social Security and Medicare. We should all care about what the annual reports say because these programs provide essential benefits for seniors. The latest and previous reports have issued dire warnings of coming benefit shortfalls.

Commentary

Gun Violence Hit Record In 2020 & 2021 Is Even Worse

Through the first six months of 2021, gunfire killed nearly 10,000 people in the United States, about 54 lives lost per day, according to data from the Gun Violence Archive, a nonprofit research organization.

Commentary

Inflation Spikes Again In July – Temporary Or Here To Stay?

I have written a lot recently about the surge in inflation we’ve seen this year.

Commentary

China On-Track To Overtake US GDP – But Not 2021 Olympics

Demographers now project that China, with its record large population of nearly 1.4 billion people, will overtake the US as the world’s largest economy by 2028, if not even sooner, a few years earlier than previously predicted, based on the latest GDP figures for 2020.

Commentary

The "Misery Index," Latest GDP Report & Other Musings

I’ll start by revisiting the so-called “Misery Index”, which I suspect many of you may never have heard of.

Commentary

Economy Is Booming, But A Renter Eviction Crisis Looms

We will touch on several topics as we go along today, beginning with the economy.

Commentary

Spiking U.S. Inflation – Is It Really Temporary?

US inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index and others continues to surge at rates we haven’t seen in decades.

Commentary

Democrats Try To Hijack Voting Laws/Rights

I generally try to avoid political commentaries in Forecasts & Trends, although I never hesitate to make it clear I am a conservative on most issues.

Commentary

Birthrates Around World Are Falling – Should We Worry?

The US birthrate fell to another record low in 2020, extending a trend which began in the mid-1960s, and this pattern is also happening in most other parts of the world.

Commentary

Consumer Prices Rise Most In 13 Years, Up 5% In May

We begin with last week’s surprising report on inflation in May, which saw consumer prices rise the most in 13 years.

Commentary

Biden Unveils Record Budget & Massive Tax Increases

Late last week President Joe Biden unveiled his first federal budget proposal as president for fiscal year 2022, which begins on October 1.

Commentary

Inflation Outlook, Consumer Spending Soars, Fed’s Surprise

There was the usual mish-mash of financial news last week, some good and some bad.

Commentary

US Inflation Blows Past Expectations In April

The US inflation rate soared above all pre-report estimates in April, the Labor Department reported last Wednesday, to its highest level in 12 years.

Commentary

US Birth & Fertility Rates Hit New Record Lows: Why?

The US Centers For Disease Control and Prevention reported last week that the US birth rate plunged for its sixth consecutive year in 2020. The US fertility rate also hit a new record low. Demographers are puzzled at this potentially troubling trend...