Advisor Perspectives Thought Leader Summit

Hear from Jeffrey Gundlach and other industry experts during our two-day virtual summit. Our two-day virtual summit will discuss long-term trends affecting the advisory profession. More than 3,000 financial advisors registered for our 2020 Thought Leader Summit and heard from over 62 speakers in the industry. Be a part of it.

dshort: AP Charts & Analysis

S&P 500 Snapshot: Soaring

The S&P 500 dropped upon open on Monday only to spend the rest of the week rising. The index ended the week at another record high, up four out of five days. It is up 1% from Thursday and up 17.5% YTD.

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CFNAI Components: Employment, Production, Consumption, Sales

The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index, which we reported on this morning, is based on 85 economic indicators drawn from four broad categories of data:

  • Production and Income
  • Employment, Unemployment, and Hours
  • Personal Consumption and Housing
  • Sales, Orders, and Inventories
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The Philly Fed ADS Business Conditions Index Update

We've updated our periodic look at the Philly Fed ADS Index which includes Initial Jobless Claims through 7/17, June Industrial Production, and June Employment.

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ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update

This morning's release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts the WLI at 154.8, down 2.3 from the previous week's revised figure. The WLIg is at 12.7, also down from last week and the WLI YoY is at 17.46%, down from last week.

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CB Leading Economic Index: Continued Rise in June

The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for June was up 0.7% from the May final figure of 114.3 and at another record high.

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Existing-Home Sales: Second Highest YoY Increase On Record

This morning's release of the June Existing-Home Sales showed that sales rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.86 million units from the previous month's 5.78 million. The Investing.com consensus was for 5.9 million. The latest number represents a 1.4% increase from the previous month and a 24% increase YoY.

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Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 51K, Worse Than Expected

This morning's seasonally adjusted 419K new claims, up 51K from the previous week's revised figure, was worse than the Investing.com forecast of 350K.

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Chicago Fed: "Index suggests economic growth moderated in June"

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to +0.09 in June from +0.26 in May. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in June, but two categories deteriorated from May. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, declined to +0.06 in June from +0.80 in May.

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Kansas City Fed Survey: Activity Strengthens in July

The latest index came in at 30, up 3 from last month's 27, indicating expansion in July. The future outlook decreased to 33 his month from 37. Here is a snapshot of the complete Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey.

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Cryptocurrencies Through 7/21

Here's the latest on the largest cryptocurrencies by market share.

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A Long Term Look: Residential Building Permits and Housing Starts

Over the long haul the two series offer a compelling study of trends in residential real estate. Here is an overlay of the two series since the 1959 inception of the Starts data and the Permits data, which began being tracked a year later.

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Margin Debt and the Market: Up 2.4% in June, Continues Record Trend

FINRA has released new data for margin debt, now available through June. The latest debt level is up 2.4% month-over-month and is at a record high.

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Middle-Class Wages in June 2021

We've updated this series to include the June release of the Consumer Price Index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $43,784, down 7.2% from 45-plus years ago.

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Weekly Gasoline Prices: WTIC Down 10.5% from Last Week

As of July 19, the price of Regular and Premium was up two cents from the previous week. According to GasBuddy.com, California has the highest average price for Regular at $4.32 and Mississippi has the cheapest at $2.77. The WTIC end-of-day spot price closed at 66.35, down 10.5% from last week and up 39% from the beginning of the year.