Predicting a major economic or financial event—whether that’s a recession, market downturn or even your own retirement—requires that you also take action. Otherwise your prediction was meaningless.
Month-over-month nominal sales in November increased by 0.2% (0.19% to two decimal points). Real Retail Sales, calculated with the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index, decreased by 0.1% (0.07% to two decimal points).
A review of last month’s market-moving events across countries and asset classes.
Did you know that more than $12 trillion in assets under management are engaged in one or more strategies of sustainable investment in the United States? This comprises more than 25 percent of the professional managed assets across the country and is a 38 percent growth from 2016 figures.
MarketCounsel’s Summit, held earlier this week in Miami, lived up to its reputation as the “all-star game” of financial advisor conferences, attracting top-level executives from throughout the investment industry. Here are three highlights from Tuesday’s sessions.
This morning's seasonally adjusted 252K new claims, up 49K from the previous week's unrevised figure, was much worse than the Investing.com forecast of 213K.
Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divides all expenditures into eight categories and assigns a relative size to each. The pie chart illustrates the components of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers, the CPI-U.
Where can I find the best content to drive engagement? I’m not looking to provide market commentary. It would be great if I could customize it with our brand but not have to rewrite any of the content.
One of the growing trends in the advisory profession is outsourced investment management – specifically using a unified managed account (UMA) platform. Many advisors have found that those solutions optimized their practices and helped deliver better investment outcomes for clients. I am speaking today the leader of one of the most popular solutions in that market, and we will discuss the trends and disruptors that advisors should prepare for over the coming decade.
We have updated our commentary on household income distribution to include the Census Bureau's release of the 2018 annual data. Our focus was on arithmetic mean (average) household incomes by quintile (and the top 5%) over the 50+ year history of this data series. The analysis offered some fascinating insights into U.S. household incomes. But the classification misses the implications of age for income. Households are by no means locked into the same quintile over time.
We've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include Friday's Employment Report for November. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, and the number of new nonfarm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 266K.
Note: This commentary has been updated with the latest numbers from Friday's Employment Report. Consider: Today nearly one in three of the 65-69 cohort and one in five of the 70-74 cohort are in the labor force.
Over the course of 20+ years, families have been bamboozled into spending trillions on top-end colleges, while overlooking the fact that it's actually the academic major that is far more important.
The purpose of this article is to better acquaint plan sponsors and service providers, like BDs and RIAs, dealing with 401(k) plans with the requirements they must understand and adhere to under ERISA.
The Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the Civilian Labor Force (people age 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the Civilian Noninstitutional Population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution).
As we mark the golden anniversary of the creation the undertaking we know call “financial planning,” the CFP Board took a decisive step to enforce a real fiduciary standard by requiring disclosure and informed customer consent of material conflicts.
The hedge fund firm Renaissance Technologies, founded by James Simons, has been an object of amazement, admiration, and envy for years, because of the incredibly high investment returns of its flagship Medallion fund. In a new book, author Gregory Zuckerman explains how Renaissance did it. He also shows how a key Renaissance employee used his riches to get Donald Trump elected president.
FINRA’s proposed rule 3241 seeks to mitigate conflicts of interest that may arise when an advisor assumes certain types of fiduciary obligations for a client. It places addition scrutiny in cases where an advisor serves as the trustee or beneficiary for a client.
Considering investment outsourcing? Our CFO weighs in on key and peripheral issues to contemplate.
Let's take a closer look at Friday's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment.
Rate cuts and overnight operations were important developments this year. Where will the Fed go from here?
While the bulls are certainly hoping the “cash hoard” will flow into U.S. equities, the reality may be quite different.
One of the fastest growing and most active acquirers has been CAPTRUST, an RIA based in Raleigh, NC. In October, it acquired the wealth management business of Boston Advisors. In August, South Texas Money Management joined CAPTRUST. In June, it announced the addition of McQueen, Ball & Associates and Cornerstone Capital Advisors to its growing team. In 2018, CAPTRUST saw 21.5 percent revenue growth and $65 billion in new client assets. The firm now has more than 200 advisors across 43 locations and advises on more than $300 billion in client assets across its wealth management, retirement plan, and endowment and foundation lines of business.
We don’t have much time to get our house in order, either in the US or globally. Everything I’ve said today applies, to various degrees, throughout the developed world. Thinking that 2% inflation or zero interest rates coupled with massive deficits will somehow help is beyond wishful thinking.
We aim to support wealth management firms, advisors, and investors as they assess portfolio strategy and navigate the shifting trends we face in the new year.
What does the ratio of unemployment claims tell us about where we are in the business cycle and our current recession risk? At present, the ratio for Continued Claims has been trending down.
This commentary has been updated to include Friday morning's release of Nonfarm Employment. November's 266K increase in total nonfarm payrolls had revisions that resulted in 41K more jobs than previously reported. The Investing.com consensus was for 186K new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain at 3.6%.
While all eyes are on estimated sales throughout December, sector performance for the month is historically not impressive.
This morning's employment report for November showed a 266K increase in total nonfarm payrolls, which was above the Investing.com forecast of 186K.
There are many prerequisites to becoming a true profession. Have we satisfied those requirements? And if so – do we desire to take the next step – seeking true status as a profession through legislation?
Few of us realize the anxiety-ridden mindset that drives prospects to seek a financial advisor. If they did, they would structure their initial meetings very differently.
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $15,604 for an annualized real return of 8.93%.
With many investors seeking to diversify their equity exposure as the U.S. bull market charges into its historic 10th year, asset managers are now providing innovative and cost-effective SMA offerings that provide US investors access to the full breadth of the emerging market universe; a feature not previously available.
We have reached a stage in the cycle where you need to think out of the box in order to deliver respectable returns. Investing like most of us have done in the great bull market will not deliver returns anywhere near the levels we have enjoyed over the past 35-40 years. This month’s Absolute Return Letter offers a solution.
There is a tendency to think that owning a handful of stocks may be a bit riskier but have an equal likelihood of outperforming the market as a whole. This is wrong for two reasons.
There are two broad approaches to forecasting current quarter GDP. Some economists will estimate a number and stick with it. Most will adjust their forecasts as new data arrive. This may seem fickle to the casual observer. Estimates will change week to week and even day to day...
Let this “season of giving” inspire your marketing strategy in 2020. Being generous to your prospects is an extremely effective way to turn them into clients.
For the vast majority of retirees, the most consequential decision they will make involves Social Security. One must decide when to begin receiving benefits, a decision that is quickly complicated when factors such as a spouse, children or a pension are involved. My guest today is Bill Reichenstein, one of the most prominent experts on Social Security.
According to a recent report by the consulting firm Cerulli and Associates, women make up only 16% of financial advisors – and that percentage is fairly consistent across all channels – brokers, banks and independent RIAs. Sheryl Garrett and I explore the issues around diversity and inclusion in the advisory profession. Why are there so few women and minorities in our profession? With an aging population of advisors due to retire in the next decade or two, what will the next generation of leadership among advisors look like? And what can be done to provide better career path options for women and minorities?
The policy proposal of "Medicare for All" calls for nationalizing the U.S. health insurance system. While this is a politically unlikely outcome, the stock prices of the private sector Managed Care insurance companies have suffered as rhetoric heats up.
Personal Income (excluding Transfer Receipts) in October fell 0.04% and is up 3.8% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, Real Personal Income (excluding Transfer Receipts) MoM was down 0.22%. The real number is up 2.5% year-over-year.
While most Americans support providing free medical care to those who need it most, not imposing an additional cost on the middle class has never been accomplished by any country that has universal health care.
Baby Boomers are arriving at retirement with large accumulations that have not yet been exposed to federal income tax. I describe a program that synchronizes the distribution of pre-tax assets with availability of generationally-low tax rates, while keeping the dictates of Medicare, Social Security and the governing IRS tax code firmly in view.
Flying in the face of negative economic news, U.S. factories picked up steam for the third straight month in November.
U.S. stocks are “fairly valued,” according to Jeremy Siegel. But in our annual interview, he also warns of two major risks to the economy and to investors.
Models can help advisors streamline portfolio management while retaining the level of discretion appropriate for their practice.
As the clock ticks toward 2020, the overall economic picture remains muddled. Ongoing trade tensions and slumping global growth have cast a cloud of uncertainty over the globe, and forward-looking return expectations continue to look less than impressive.
The entrepreneurial mindset of determination and perseverance can bring significant financial rewards. Expanding that mindset to include a broader, more diversified view of investing for the future will turn those rewards into long-term financial independence.
Although the PMI report is encouraging, there’s still reason to remain somewhat cautious long-term. The latest accounting of global debt levels was just released, and the news might be so bad that it’s good—for gold prices, at least.
In the bond market, staying positive is easier said than done.
What can advisors do to be more transparent or communicate better?
A 45 Year History of One Family’s Success
For SRI optimized index funds, stable ownership of a range of companies and industries provides a platform for helping investors integrate their values into their investment decisions.
We've updated this series to include the October release of the Consumer Price Index as the deflator and the October monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $39,816, down 11.1% from 45-plus years ago.
Let’s look here for a handful of unfair advantages to gain over the competition in 2020. These are things that are not hard to implement, which will help you become more efficient, gain new clients or stand out from your peers.
The CFP Board had noble intentions with its new standards that became effective last month. However, its handling of conflicts falls so short that absent significant new guidance the credibility of the standards is in serious doubt. This is clear from the recent publication of a major insurer’s eye-opening disclosure intended to address conflicts.
I would derive such immense pleasure from lighting a match to the website of every single advisor in this profession and watching it burn down to the ground.
1. Overview – What is the “SECURE Act”? 2. The Retirement Savings Crisis in America 3. One Potentially Serious Knock on the SECURE Act 4. SECURE Act is Currently Tangled Up in the Senate
Even your most successful clients may not know how to get the most out of their retirement compensation packages. They need help, and you should be the one to help them.
Attend this session to:
Abram Claude will be available after the presentation to answer attendees' questions live
College is expensive. We all know that – and that is why parents come to financial advisors to talk about how they’ll pay for it. What you and your clients’ families may not be aware of is that the posted tuitions are rarely the price anyone pays. College tuition discounts vary widely and the methodology used to calculate tuitions is not disclosed by any college.
The economic calendar is normal with a focus on housing. Some will be parsing the Fed minutes while others watch the impeachment hearings. This week’s topic may not be a media focus for the week ahead, but it gets constant attention. With a government shutdown and the debt ceiling on the agenda, let’s seize the moment and ask: Is it time to worry about debt? I suspect that many readers believe it is way past time!
China’s economy is slowing by any measure, while Australia’s central bank takes rates to record lows.
A brief monthly update on what's happening in the municipal bond market.
Today's report on Industrial Production for October shows a 0.84% decrease month-over-month, which was worse than the Investing.com consensus of -0.4%. The year-over-year change is -1.13%, down from last month's YoY increase.
Financial professionals project that clients who experience an unplanned long-term care event may spend their savings 2 to 3X faster than anticipated. Leverage this webinar to help your clients protect against this risk and gain new insights on the importance of including a long-term care plan in your client’s overall retirement strategy. You’ll gain an increased awareness of how a long-term care event impacts your clients and their loved ones, learn new strategies for initiating a LTC conversation and funding options that can help your clients mitigate their risks while feeling confident about the future.
Nearly every aspect of the advisory industry is undergoing some form of transformation today—spelling an opportunity for those advisors who are committed to continuously evolving their approach.
ESG integration is best used as a tool to improve portfolio returns and/or reduce risk. While usually thought of as a company-level concern, material ESG data can be very useful at the country level as well, especially in emerging markets. ESG signals are only as good as the quality of their inputs.
Should you be comfortable referring your clients to CPAs or other professionals who also handle annuities, investments and insurance?
An ESG mandate fulfills the noble goal of aligning investors’ portfolios with their personal values and beliefs. But new research affirms what financial theory predicts: Those investors will incur a penalty in terms of risk-adjusted performance.
The media is full of articles about the financial situation of Millennials in today’s economy. According to numerous surveys, they are saddled with too much debt, can’t secure higher wage-paying jobs, and are financially distressed on many fronts.
This is an absolute monarchy we’re talking about, after all, and so global investors should not expect to have any shareholder rights. Aramco’s board of directors will have a fiduciary duty to MBS and any future monarch, not to investors. This has some serious implications.
Wealth taxes are politically resonant but difficult to enact. Oil prices are steady despite disruptions, while the EU’s food exports face tariffs.
Although economic signals are mixed, bottom-up sector fundamentals help inform decisions on sector ratings.
Read Harold Evensky's latest Newsletter.
In my previous article, I talked about how important it is to know who you best serve and what types of people and personalities are right for your firm. Now, let’s determine how to reach those people and grow your firm.
Are you just starting off or have you been at it for years? Here are seven essentials business skills for every advisor.
Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that much of the recent criticism brought to bear against Fed policy makers is misguided, and in fact the central bank has done an admirable job of pivoting toward a pragmatic equilibrium in recent months.
In October the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its 2019 GDP forecast to 3.0% from 3.2% in July. This represents a marked slowing from global growth of 3.8% in 2017. The primary driver of the slowdown has been a retrenchment in global trade and business investment in response to the ratcheting up of trade tariffs since early 2018.
Why active has the potential to outperform passive in fixed income.
Rising issuance of munis available only to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) may offer higher yields to investors who can access them.
DOW 650,000 - Just recently CNBC ran an article touting Ron Baron's call for the Dow to reach that astronomical level in just 50-years. Problem is that the INDU should ALREADY be at 650,000 - why isn't it?
Not everyone in your local area will be a good fit for your business. You need to strategically think about who you serve best before you go knocking on every door in town.
Three drivers increase a firm’s value but another three will destroy it.
Our Income to Outcome framework seeks to deliver a simpler, more intuitive approach to investing for retirement.
Among the 20 largest US-listed corporate DB sponsors, General Electric Company ended 2018 with the third lowest funded ratio at 75.6%.¹ This is a precipitous decline from 2007, when their funded ratio was the third highest among this group at 129.1%. Over that time period – when the average funded ratio dropped about 20 percentage points - GE's dropped by over 50 percentage points.¹ How did this happen?
Kim Laughton is president of Schwab Charitable, a national donor-advised fund. In this interview, she discusses how advisors can integrate charitable planning into client discussions and use it as a tool to expand and deepen relationships.
Chris Davis is chairman of Davis Advisors, a firm founded by his father that has followed the same value-investing discipline for its 50-year history. In this interview, Chris discusses the exceptional opportunities he is finding among the financial stocks, how financial advisors can add the greatest value and the biggest changes he has seen over his career.
Which is more important to your clients – hitting a net-worth target (money) or getting to financial security as quickly and safely possible (time)?
Many of you read my article about the “70 deep model,” which explained the paradigm for a practice serving 70 or fewer clients with deep, high-touch service that commands a higher price. Here is how to develop those relationships.
Does a prosperous global society need access to energy supplies that grow faster than the population? Conventional wisdom says yes, but a new book tackles this question and reaches the surprising and optimistic conclusion that we can live better while consuming less energy and fewer material resources.
The Retirement Channel
Expecting a Market Downturn? Make Sure You’re Following the “Noah Rule”
Predicting a major economic or financial event—whether that’s a recession, market downturn or even your own retirement—requires that you also take action. Otherwise your prediction was meaningless.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: November Real Retail Sales
Month-over-month nominal sales in November increased by 0.2% (0.19% to two decimal points). Real Retail Sales, calculated with the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index, decreased by 0.1% (0.07% to two decimal points).
Changing Speeds?
A review of last month’s market-moving events across countries and asset classes.
Advisors and Clients Walking past Each Other on Sustainable Investment
Did you know that more than $12 trillion in assets under management are engaged in one or more strategies of sustainable investment in the United States? This comprises more than 25 percent of the professional managed assets across the country and is a 38 percent growth from 2016 figures.
Three Highlights from the MarketCounsel Summit
MarketCounsel’s Summit, held earlier this week in Miami, lived up to its reputation as the “all-star game” of financial advisor conferences, attracting top-level executives from throughout the investment industry. Here are three highlights from Tuesday’s sessions.
Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 49K from Last Week, Much Worse Than Forecast
This morning's seasonally adjusted 252K new claims, up 49K from the previous week's unrevised figure, was much worse than the Investing.com forecast of 213K.
What Inflation Means to You: Inside the Consumer Price Index
Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divides all expenditures into eight categories and assigns a relative size to each. The pie chart illustrates the components of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers, the CPI-U.
The Best Content to Drive Engagement
Where can I find the best content to drive engagement? I’m not looking to provide market commentary. It would be great if I could customize it with our brand but not have to rewrite any of the content.
How UMA Platforms Drive Better investment Outcomes
One of the growing trends in the advisory profession is outsourced investment management – specifically using a unified managed account (UMA) platform. Many advisors have found that those solutions optimized their practices and helped deliver better investment outcomes for clients. I am speaking today the leader of one of the most popular solutions in that market, and we will discuss the trends and disruptors that advisors should prepare for over the coming decade.
Median Household Incomes by Age Bracket: 1967-2018
We have updated our commentary on household income distribution to include the Census Bureau's release of the 2018 annual data. Our focus was on arithmetic mean (average) household incomes by quintile (and the top 5%) over the 50+ year history of this data series. The analysis offered some fascinating insights into U.S. household incomes. But the classification misses the implications of age for income. Households are by no means locked into the same quintile over time.
U.S. Workforce Recovery
We've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include Friday's Employment Report for November. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, and the number of new nonfarm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 266K.
Demographic Trends for the 50-and-Older Work Force
Note: This commentary has been updated with the latest numbers from Friday's Employment Report. Consider: Today nearly one in three of the 65-69 cohort and one in five of the 70-74 cohort are in the labor force.
College Planning: Is the ROI in the College or the Major?
Over the course of 20+ years, families have been bamboozled into spending trillions on top-end colleges, while overlooking the fact that it's actually the academic major that is far more important.
A Primer on Retirement Plan Compliance
The purpose of this article is to better acquaint plan sponsors and service providers, like BDs and RIAs, dealing with 401(k) plans with the requirements they must understand and adhere to under ERISA.
Long-Term Trends in Employment by Age Group
The Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the Civilian Labor Force (people age 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the Civilian Noninstitutional Population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution).
The CFP Board Steps Up (Almost)
As we mark the golden anniversary of the creation the undertaking we know call “financial planning,” the CFP Board took a decisive step to enforce a real fiduciary standard by requiring disclosure and informed customer consent of material conflicts.
Was Renaissance’s Success Luck or Skill – And Was It Behind Trump’s Victory?
The hedge fund firm Renaissance Technologies, founded by James Simons, has been an object of amazement, admiration, and envy for years, because of the incredibly high investment returns of its flagship Medallion fund. In a new book, author Gregory Zuckerman explains how Renaissance did it. He also shows how a key Renaissance employee used his riches to get Donald Trump elected president.
The Impact of FINRA’s Ruling on Advisors as Trustees
FINRA’s proposed rule 3241 seeks to mitigate conflicts of interest that may arise when an advisor assumes certain types of fiduciary obligations for a client. It places addition scrutiny in cases where an advisor serves as the trustee or beneficiary for a client.
From One CFO to Another: An Insider View on OCIO Decision Making
Considering investment outsourcing? Our CFO weighs in on key and peripheral issues to contemplate.
The Ratio of Part-Time Employed: November 2019
Let's take a closer look at Friday's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment.
Ending a Busy Year for the Federal Reserve
Rate cuts and overnight operations were important developments this year. Where will the Fed go from here?
The Myth Of The “Great Cash Hoard” Of 2019
While the bulls are certainly hoping the “cash hoard” will flow into U.S. equities, the reality may be quite different.
How Captrust Blends Organic and Inorganic Growth
One of the fastest growing and most active acquirers has been CAPTRUST, an RIA based in Raleigh, NC. In October, it acquired the wealth management business of Boston Advisors. In August, South Texas Money Management joined CAPTRUST. In June, it announced the addition of McQueen, Ball & Associates and Cornerstone Capital Advisors to its growing team. In 2018, CAPTRUST saw 21.5 percent revenue growth and $65 billion in new client assets. The firm now has more than 200 advisors across 43 locations and advises on more than $300 billion in client assets across its wealth management, retirement plan, and endowment and foundation lines of business.
Inflationary Angst
We don’t have much time to get our house in order, either in the US or globally. Everything I’ve said today applies, to various degrees, throughout the developed world. Thinking that 2% inflation or zero interest rates coupled with massive deficits will somehow help is beyond wishful thinking.
Navigating U.S. Wealth Management: Seven Ideas for Financial Advisors and Individual Investors in 20
We aim to support wealth management firms, advisors, and investors as they assess portfolio strategy and navigate the shifting trends we face in the new year.
The Civilian Labor Force, Unemployment Claims and the Business Cycle
What does the ratio of unemployment claims tell us about where we are in the business cycle and our current recession risk? At present, the ratio for Continued Claims has been trending down.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: November Nonfarm Employment
This commentary has been updated to include Friday morning's release of Nonfarm Employment. November's 266K increase in total nonfarm payrolls had revisions that resulted in 41K more jobs than previously reported. The Investing.com consensus was for 186K new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain at 3.6%.
’Tis the Season for Consumer Discretionary … or Not?
While all eyes are on estimated sales throughout December, sector performance for the month is historically not impressive.
November Jobs Report: 266K New Jobs, Better Than Forecast
This morning's employment report for November showed a 266K increase in total nonfarm payrolls, which was above the Investing.com forecast of 186K.
How Financial Planning Can Become a True Profession
There are many prerequisites to becoming a true profession. Have we satisfied those requirements? And if so – do we desire to take the next step – seeking true status as a profession through legislation?
What Advisors Don’t Understand About Prospects
Few of us realize the anxiety-ridden mindset that drives prospects to seek a financial advisor. If they did, they would structure their initial meetings very differently.
The Latest Look at the Total Return Roller Coaster
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $15,604 for an annualized real return of 8.93%.
SMA Vehicles Facilitate New Retail Investment Opportunities in Emerging Markets Poised for Growth
With many investors seeking to diversify their equity exposure as the U.S. bull market charges into its historic 10th year, asset managers are now providing innovative and cost-effective SMA offerings that provide US investors access to the full breadth of the emerging market universe; a feature not previously available.
A Future Embedded in the Present
We have reached a stage in the cycle where you need to think out of the box in order to deliver respectable returns. Investing like most of us have done in the great bull market will not deliver returns anywhere near the levels we have enjoyed over the past 35-40 years. This month’s Absolute Return Letter offers a solution.
The Myth of Overdiversification
There is a tendency to think that owning a handful of stocks may be a bit riskier but have an equal likelihood of outperforming the market as a whole. This is wrong for two reasons.
GDP: Arithmetic and Forecasting
There are two broad approaches to forecasting current quarter GDP. Some economists will estimate a number and stick with it. Most will adjust their forecasts as new data arrive. This may seem fickle to the casual observer. Estimates will change week to week and even day to day...
How the Holiday Spirit Can Generate More Clients
Let this “season of giving” inspire your marketing strategy in 2020. Being generous to your prospects is an extremely effective way to turn them into clients.
Advanced Topics for Social Security Planning
For the vast majority of retirees, the most consequential decision they will make involves Social Security. One must decide when to begin receiving benefits, a decision that is quickly complicated when factors such as a spouse, children or a pension are involved. My guest today is Bill Reichenstein, one of the most prominent experts on Social Security.
Diversity and Inclusion in the Advisory Profession
According to a recent report by the consulting firm Cerulli and Associates, women make up only 16% of financial advisors – and that percentage is fairly consistent across all channels – brokers, banks and independent RIAs. Sheryl Garrett and I explore the issues around diversity and inclusion in the advisory profession. Why are there so few women and minorities in our profession? With an aging population of advisors due to retire in the next decade or two, what will the next generation of leadership among advisors look like? And what can be done to provide better career path options for women and minorities?
Health Insurance Companies: Rhetoric vs. Reality
The policy proposal of "Medicare for All" calls for nationalizing the U.S. health insurance system. While this is a politically unlikely outcome, the stock prices of the private sector Managed Care insurance companies have suffered as rhetoric heats up.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Personal Income in October
Personal Income (excluding Transfer Receipts) in October fell 0.04% and is up 3.8% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, Real Personal Income (excluding Transfer Receipts) MoM was down 0.22%. The real number is up 2.5% year-over-year.
The Middle-Class Cost of Medicare for All
While most Americans support providing free medical care to those who need it most, not imposing an additional cost on the middle class has never been accomplished by any country that has universal health care.
A Program for Boomers to Liberate Pre-Tax Assets
Baby Boomers are arriving at retirement with large accumulations that have not yet been exposed to federal income tax. I describe a program that synchronizes the distribution of pre-tax assets with availability of generationally-low tax rates, while keeping the dictates of Medicare, Social Security and the governing IRS tax code firmly in view.
This Economic Indicator Is Proving the Naysayers Wrong
Flying in the face of negative economic news, U.S. factories picked up steam for the third straight month in November.
Jeremy Siegel – The Market is “Fairly Valued” But There are Two Big Risks
U.S. stocks are “fairly valued,” according to Jeremy Siegel. But in our annual interview, he also warns of two major risks to the economy and to investors.
Making the Most of Model Portfolios
Models can help advisors streamline portfolio management while retaining the level of discretion appropriate for their practice.
5 Factors for Healthcare Organizations to Consider When Choosing an Ocio Provider
As the clock ticks toward 2020, the overall economic picture remains muddled. Ongoing trade tensions and slumping global growth have cast a cloud of uncertainty over the globe, and forward-looking return expectations continue to look less than impressive.
An Entrepreneurial Mindset Hinders Wealth Building
The entrepreneurial mindset of determination and perseverance can bring significant financial rewards. Expanding that mindset to include a broader, more diversified view of investing for the future will turn those rewards into long-term financial independence.
This Economic Indicator Is Proving the Naysayers Wrong
Although the PMI report is encouraging, there’s still reason to remain somewhat cautious long-term. The latest accounting of global debt levels was just released, and the news might be so bad that it’s good—for gold prices, at least.
Negative Rates, Payment Systems, and Protests
In the bond market, staying positive is easier said than done.
Training the Investor Brain: Managing Emotions and Building Your Business
What can advisors do to be more transparent or communicate better?
A Successful Retirement Income Plan = Growing Distributions for You and Your Heirs
A 45 Year History of One Family’s Success
Optimized Index Funds: Seeking Impact and Returns
For SRI optimized index funds, stable ownership of a range of companies and industries provides a platform for helping investors integrate their values into their investment decisions.
Five Decades of Middle-Class Wages: October 2019 Update
We've updated this series to include the October release of the Consumer Price Index as the deflator and the October monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $39,816, down 11.1% from 45-plus years ago.
Five Big Ideas to Gain an Unfair Competitive Advantage in 2020
Let’s look here for a handful of unfair advantages to gain over the competition in 2020. These are things that are not hard to implement, which will help you become more efficient, gain new clients or stand out from your peers.
A Major Insurer Exposes the Weakness in the CFP Board’s Standards
The CFP Board had noble intentions with its new standards that became effective last month. However, its handling of conflicts falls so short that absent significant new guidance the credibility of the standards is in serious doubt. This is clear from the recent publication of a major insurer’s eye-opening disclosure intended to address conflicts.
Introducing the One-Page Website. Cut!
I would derive such immense pleasure from lighting a match to the website of every single advisor in this profession and watching it burn down to the ground.
How The "SECURE Act" Will Affect Americans' Retirement
1. Overview – What is the “SECURE Act”? 2. The Retirement Savings Crisis in America 3. One Potentially Serious Knock on the SECURE Act 4. SECURE Act is Currently Tangled Up in the Senate
Your niche is waiting: Help your best clients build wealth at work
Even your most successful clients may not know how to get the most out of their retirement compensation packages. They need help, and you should be the one to help them.
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Abram Claude will be available after the presentation to answer attendees' questions live
The College Tuition and Admissions Probability Estimator
College is expensive. We all know that – and that is why parents come to financial advisors to talk about how they’ll pay for it. What you and your clients’ families may not be aware of is that the posted tuitions are rarely the price anyone pays. College tuition discounts vary widely and the methodology used to calculate tuitions is not disclosed by any college.
Is It Time to Worry about Debt?
The economic calendar is normal with a focus on housing. Some will be parsing the Fed minutes while others watch the impeachment hearings. This week’s topic may not be a media focus for the week ahead, but it gets constant attention. With a government shutdown and the debt ceiling on the agenda, let’s seize the moment and ask: Is it time to worry about debt? I suspect that many readers believe it is way past time!
China’s Slower Growth, the Laffer Curve, and Rate Cuts in Australia
China’s economy is slowing by any measure, while Australia’s central bank takes rates to record lows.
Monthly Municipal Market Update, October 2019
A brief monthly update on what's happening in the municipal bond market.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Industrial Production Down in October
Today's report on Industrial Production for October shows a 0.84% decrease month-over-month, which was worse than the Investing.com consensus of -0.4%. The year-over-year change is -1.13%, down from last month's YoY increase.
Planning for long-term care expenses — as a family
Financial professionals project that clients who experience an unplanned long-term care event may spend their savings 2 to 3X faster than anticipated. Leverage this webinar to help your clients protect against this risk and gain new insights on the importance of including a long-term care plan in your client’s overall retirement strategy. You’ll gain an increased awareness of how a long-term care event impacts your clients and their loved ones, learn new strategies for initiating a LTC conversation and funding options that can help your clients mitigate their risks while feeling confident about the future.
Evolving Advisors Don’t Fear Change. They Embrace It.
Nearly every aspect of the advisory industry is undergoing some form of transformation today—spelling an opportunity for those advisors who are committed to continuously evolving their approach.
Climbing the ESG Learning Curve in Emerging Markets
ESG integration is best used as a tool to improve portfolio returns and/or reduce risk. While usually thought of as a company-level concern, material ESG data can be very useful at the country level as well, especially in emerging markets. ESG signals are only as good as the quality of their inputs.
How to Get Your Clients Help with Medicare
Should you be comfortable referring your clients to CPAs or other professionals who also handle annuities, investments and insurance?
Evaluating the Performance of ESG Funds
An ESG mandate fulfills the noble goal of aligning investors’ portfolios with their personal values and beliefs. But new research affirms what financial theory predicts: Those investors will incur a penalty in terms of risk-adjusted performance.
The One Chart Every Millennial Should Ignore
The media is full of articles about the financial situation of Millennials in today’s economy. According to numerous surveys, they are saddled with too much debt, can’t secure higher wage-paying jobs, and are financially distressed on many fronts.
Should You Buy the Saudi Aramco IPO?
This is an absolute monarchy we’re talking about, after all, and so global investors should not expect to have any shareholder rights. Aramco’s board of directors will have a fiduciary duty to MBS and any future monarch, not to investors. This has some serious implications.
Wealth Tax Proposed, Resilient Energy Market, EU Exports Taxed
Wealth taxes are politically resonant but difficult to enact. Oil prices are steady despite disruptions, while the EU’s food exports face tariffs.
Macro View is Obscure, but the Earnings Landscape Is Clearer
Although economic signals are mixed, bottom-up sector fundamentals help inform decisions on sector ratings.
NewsLetter – November 2019
Read Harold Evensky's latest Newsletter.
Revisiting the Six Traditional Ways to Find New Clients
In my previous article, I talked about how important it is to know who you best serve and what types of people and personalities are right for your firm. Now, let’s determine how to reach those people and grow your firm.
The Seven Essential Business Skills
Are you just starting off or have you been at it for years? Here are seven essentials business skills for every advisor.
The Restoration of Monetary Policy Equilibrium
Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that much of the recent criticism brought to bear against Fed policy makers is misguided, and in fact the central bank has done an admirable job of pivoting toward a pragmatic equilibrium in recent months.
Macro Factors and Their Impact on Monetary Policy, the Economy, and Financial Markets
In October the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its 2019 GDP forecast to 3.0% from 3.2% in July. This represents a marked slowing from global growth of 3.8% in 2017. The primary driver of the slowdown has been a retrenchment in global trade and business investment in response to the ratcheting up of trade tariffs since early 2018.
The Risk Mitigation Advantage in Active Fixed-Income Management
Why active has the potential to outperform passive in fixed income.
Institutional Investors May Benefit From More Complex High Yield Muni Market
Rising issuance of munis available only to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) may offer higher yields to investors who can access them.
Dow 650,000? We Are Already There!
DOW 650,000 - Just recently CNBC ran an article touting Ron Baron's call for the Dow to reach that astronomical level in just 50-years. Problem is that the INDU should ALREADY be at 650,000 - why isn't it?
The Importance of Finding Your Ideal Client
Not everyone in your local area will be a good fit for your business. You need to strategically think about who you serve best before you go knocking on every door in town.
Three Drivers that Maximize Practice Value
Three drivers increase a firm’s value but another three will destroy it.
Financial Advisors and Retirement: The Decumulation Dilemma
Our Income to Outcome framework seeks to deliver a simpler, more intuitive approach to investing for retirement.
Better Late Than Never…Ge Pension Risk in Focus
Among the 20 largest US-listed corporate DB sponsors, General Electric Company ended 2018 with the third lowest funded ratio at 75.6%.¹ This is a precipitous decline from 2007, when their funded ratio was the third highest among this group at 129.1%. Over that time period – when the average funded ratio dropped about 20 percentage points - GE's dropped by over 50 percentage points.¹ How did this happen?
How Charitable Giving Deepens Client Relationships and Grows Assets
Kim Laughton is president of Schwab Charitable, a national donor-advised fund. In this interview, she discusses how advisors can integrate charitable planning into client discussions and use it as a tool to expand and deepen relationships.
Where the Davis Funds is Finding Great Opportunities
Chris Davis is chairman of Davis Advisors, a firm founded by his father that has followed the same value-investing discipline for its 50-year history. In this interview, Chris discusses the exceptional opportunities he is finding among the financial stocks, how financial advisors can add the greatest value and the biggest changes he has seen over his career.
The Time Traveler’s Guide to Investing
Which is more important to your clients – hitting a net-worth target (money) or getting to financial security as quickly and safely possible (time)?
How to Attract 70 Ultra-High Net Worth Clients
Many of you read my article about the “70 deep model,” which explained the paradigm for a practice serving 70 or fewer clients with deep, high-touch service that commands a higher price. Here is how to develop those relationships.
A Blueprint for a Prosperous, Sustainable Future
Does a prosperous global society need access to energy supplies that grow faster than the population? Conventional wisdom says yes, but a new book tackles this question and reaches the surprising and optimistic conclusion that we can live better while consuming less energy and fewer material resources.