The Income Channel

Matthews Asia - Opportunities in Emerging Markets

The emerging markets (“EM”) equity asset class has evolved considerably over the past decade such that many active EM equity managers may find it challenging to create long-term alpha over the benchmark. Countries such as China and India are moving to the fore, historical drivers of growth are changing and technology, innovation and health care are becoming a larger part of the opportunity set. It has been difficult for EM investment teams to keep up with these changes. My guest today, David Dali, wrote those words in a recent commentary, and we discuss how he and his team are positioning to adapt to that changing landscape.

Expecting a Market Downturn? Make Sure You’re Following the “Noah Rule”

Predicting a major economic or financial event—whether that’s a recession, market downturn or even your own retirement—requires that you also take action. Otherwise your prediction was meaningless.

Time to Do the Hard Thing

Much of the reaction to last week’s Inflationary Angst letter boiled down to, “Get government out of the way and the free market will work.” Others said the opposite: Government must help people even more than it already does. I wish it were that easy. Neither of those options are what we need, and today I will explain why.

UK Election: Will Tory Victory Bring Investors Back to UK Equities?

As widely expected, the Conservative Party emerged victorious in the UK general election. Our Colin Morton anticipates UK equity markets will welcome the outcome, but cautions that some uncertainties remain.

UK Elections: Conservatives Win Big, Brexit Will Happen – What Kind of Brexit Is Still Unclear

While the election outcome was quickly reflected in the pound exchange rate, the direction from here depends on what kind of relationship Boris Johnson really (really) wants to have with the EU. Find out more from our currency expert.

What Boris Johnson’s Election Victory Means for UK Assets

We expect to see flows back into UK equity and credit now that some of the Brexit uncertainty has been removed.

The Big Four Economic Indicators: November Real Retail Sales

Month-over-month nominal sales in November increased by 0.2% (0.19% to two decimal points). Real Retail Sales, calculated with the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index, decreased by 0.1% (0.07% to two decimal points).

Household Incomes: The Value of Higher Education

What is the value of education for household income? The Census Bureau's annual survey data for 2018 published in September gives us some interesting insights into this question. The median income for all households with a householder age 25 and older was $64,761. The chart below shows the median annual household income for nine cohorts by educational attainment. We've rounded the data points to the nearest $100, e.g. $64.8K for all households age 25 and older.

Fed Holds Rates Steady, as Expected

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, as expected; while signaling rates would stay in their current range through next year.

The 2020 Economic Outlook

U.S. economic activity is expected to remain mixed in 2020, with moderate strength in consumer spending and general softness in business fixed investment and manufacturing.

The Unique Opportunities and Challenges for Bond Investors in 2020

Dave Plecha, Global Head of Fixed Income at Dimensional Fund Advisors, will comment on the Advisor Perspectives Core Bond Fund survey results and discuss fixed income investing in the current market. In this webinar, you will learn about:

  • Navigating an inverted yield curve
  • Expanding the investment opportunity set with global diversification
  • Investing in a negative rate environment

After the webinar, Dave will be around to answer live audience questions.

Household Incomes: The Decline of the "Middle Class" 2018 Update

The median household is the statistical center of the Middle Class. In terms of income, this class has not gained much in recent decades. Let's take a closer look at a troubling aspect of the Census Bureau's latest annual household income data, issued in September. In this update, we'll focus on the growing gap between the median (middle) and mean (average) household incomes across the complete time frame of the Census Bureau's annual reporting, which began in 1967, to the release of the annual data for 2018.

The Right Way to Value Growth Stocks: Part 3

In part 2 of this series I focused on how to value slow and moderately growing businesses. In this article, Part 3, I will shift my focus on how to value faster growing companies (growth stocks).

Troubled Times Can Give Birth to Opportunity

Asia goes into the global deceleration with already-lean companies and a valuation advantage.

Changing Speeds?

A review of last month’s market-moving events across countries and asset classes.