Muni Bonds Surge, Reviving From Worst Crash in Over Four Decades
Municipal-bond prices surged, staging the biggest one-day rally in nearly three decades, as Congress and the White House struck a deal on a more than $2 trillion stimulus package to soften the impact of the economic slowdown triggered by the coronavirus.
The gains sent yields sliding sharply across maturities, but the drop was steepest for the shortest-dated securities that were hardest hit by the steep sell-off this month as fund managers dumped the easiest-to-unload bonds when investors fled en masse. Three-month benchmark yields dropped 75 basis points to 1.8% while those on 10-year bonds fell 61 basis points to 2.06%. Those on the longest-dated securities fell 61 basis points to 2.56%.
The rally gained force after the White House and the Senate reached an agreement on a massive package of spending and tax breaks in a bid to prevent the swift shutdown of much of America’s economy from leading to a deep, prolonged recession. It includes about $500 billion that can be used to back loans and assistance to companies, as well as state and local governments.
The price jump was the biggest since 1993 and sent yields tumbling by the most since Bloomberg’s benchmark indexes begin in 2011. The drop was roughly three times as big as the decline Tuesday and included high-yield bonds that tumbled steeply during the sell-off.
“The stimulus will be very helpful to the overall market,” said James Iselin, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman Group. “The stimulus will inspire confidence that a bridge is being built to help get us to the other side as we continue to deal with challenges resulting from this unprecedented moment.”
The two-day rally broke what had been an escalating slide in the $3.9 trillion municipal market as investors pulled cash out of mutual funds at a record-setting pace on concerns about how the economic fallout of the pandemic would affect cities, airports, hospitals and others that have issued tax-exempt bonds. The retreat saddled many borrowers with skyrocketing interest bills on floating-rate debt and effectively shut down the market for new debt issues as Wall Street banks put offerings on hold.
The Federal Reserve softened the liquidity strains by extending its lending programs to include some of the shortest-dated municipal securities, while the stimulus promises to ease the financial strains on local governments and other borrowers.